Play Whe · Predictions

Model picks for Sun 20 Sep 10:30 AM

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Predictions come from past draws. Every draw is independent.

Next Play Whe · 10:30 AMAfter 31 Parson Wife
  1. 34

    Blind Man4.7%model score

    Why 34: strong follower history and strong weekday history; strong slot history.

  2. 23

    House4.1%model score

    Why 23: strong follower history and strong slot history; active lately.

  3. 17

    Pigeon4.1%model score

    Why 17: strong follower history and active lately.

  4. 29

    Opium Man3.8%model score

    Why 29: strong follower history and strong slot history; plays often overall.

  5. 28

    Red Fish3.7%model score

    Why 28: strong follower history and strong slot history; strong weekday history.

12

Dark horseKing3.3%

Strongest 10:30 AM and previous-mark combination outside the top five.

Weights refit after every draw from 896 draws. Replay on 752 past draws: 14.5% of drawn marks were in the top five; chance is 13.9%.

Track record

Track record starts after a few draws.

Fitted weights

base 0.15 · follower 0.30

slot 0.15 · weekday 0.10

momentum 0.20 · overdue 0.05

Rest of today

1:00 PMFive marks
  1. 30House Cat3.5%
  2. 34Blind Man3.5%
  3. 17Pigeon3.4%
  4. 5Parson Man3.3%
  5. 24Queen3.2%

Updates once the 10:30 AM mark lands.

4:00 PMFive marks
  1. 30House Cat3.8%
  2. 18Water Boat3.5%
  3. 24Queen3.5%
  4. 34Blind Man3.4%
  5. 17Pigeon3.3%

Updates once the 10:30 AM mark lands.

7:00 PMFive marks
  1. 30House Cat3.6%
  2. 34Blind Man3.5%
  3. 18Water Boat3.3%
  4. 28Red Fish3.3%
  5. 24Queen3.3%

Updates once the 10:30 AM mark lands.

After Parson Wife23 plays
  1. 34Blind Man3 of 23
  2. 29Opium Man2 of 23
  3. 12King2 of 23
  4. 17Pigeon2 of 23
  5. 23House2 of 23

Marks that most often followed Parson Wife. Refreshes after every draw.

Active this weekMomentum
  1. 3Carriage6.7%
  2. 33Spider6.4%
  3. 32Shrimps5.2%
  4. 35Big Snake5.1%
  5. 17Pigeon5.0%

Recent plays weighted by recency; a play 30 draws ago counts half.

Re-enteringBack after a long gap
  1. 31Parson Wifegap 107, just now
  2. 26Fowlgap 94, 8 ago

Played within the last 12 draws after sitting out 50 or more.

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